Saturday, 9 May 2015

I don't know what to think about Scotland

This time last year I had finished my exams and was quickly realising that I didn’t really know the first thing about Africa (or medicine), and I was feeling excited about starting my elective in Tanzania.

This time this year I have finished my exams and am quickly realising that I don’t really know the first thing about medicine (or Africa), and I am feeling intensely glum about the future.

My life of late has been dull in the extreme: I’ve done a bit of revision and sat a few exams and I have been slowly abusing my body with junk food and terrible sleep hygiene for a long time.  So I’ve looked forward to finishing the final set of my extended student career. I anticipated spending the time afterwards reading things for interest not exams, maybe bloviating some more on the internet, reacquainting myself with ignored friends and family, and re-engaging in general. I was looking forward to beginning life and work in Manchester as an FY1 doctor for the long suffering NHS.

Alas, any joy gained from finishing my medical finals on Thursday was violently annihilated by the election results a few hours later. The exit poll was worse than all the previous polls, and the result worse even than that. We have voted for another 5 years of conservative government, except now it will be unmitigated by Liberal Democrat presence.  I am concerned that this country is becoming unkind and insular and selfish and unpleasant, that the people in it are seemingly unconcerned about the healthcare system, about the poor, about immigrants, about welfare, about human rights, about food banks, inequality, about relations with Europe, about big corporations holding governments to ransom.

But smallest of victories: Nigel Farage, and Paul Nuttall and 619 other UKIP failed to win seats, despite some 3.88million UKIP votes. Nearly 4 million adult human beings decided voting UKIP was a good idea.

It’s cruel that the Tory’s unexpected success has benefited so much from the surge of their ideological opponents in the SNP. It seems that fear of an SNP-Lab coalition dissuaded enough labour voters, whereas hatred for the ruling Tories England caused an SNP whitewash in Scotland.
It’s tempting to blame our electoral system; under proportional representation the parliament would look significantly different:


Party Actual result P.R. Difference
Conservatives 331 242 -89
Labour 232 199 -33
Lib Dem 8 51 43
SNP 56 31 -25
Ukip 1 82 81
Green 1 24 23

In my simplification to consider coalition governments:

“LEFT” = LAB(232) + LD(8) + SNP(56) + GREEN(1) = 297 (vs 305 PR)
“RIGHT” = TORY (331) + UKIP(1) = 332 (vs 324 PR)

(Apologies for ignoring all of the smaller and welsh/NI parties)

But I suppose the reality is much more complicated than this – a lot people I know would have voted differently under proportional representation. Plus I see no chance of voting reform as it would never benefit the ruling parties, and of course 2011’s AV referendum was a shambles.

There’s lots and lots and lots to say about the state of British politics this week, and lots has been said and re-said and said again, and I’m aware that I’m neither qualified nor able to clearly articulate the issues.

So I’ll just quote a line from Richard Herring’s blog:

“This is democracy though. It’s all about what most people vote for. And people are fucking idiots, so you can’t be surprised when they do something stupid”

Or perhaps a better and more optimistic one from Aneurin Bevan 1948:

"The NHS will last as long as there are folk left with the faith to fight for it"